Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.232033 0.267801 0.307039 0.353252 0.406165 0.464832 0.534791
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.176374 0.223015 0.278768 0.350217 0.439247 0.546431 0.685185
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.136837 0.188135 0.254463 0.346252 0.469729 0.629819 0.852885
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.108735 0.161591 0.235081 0.344249 0.501787 0.720323 1.045884
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.088577 0.141510 0.220234 0.345085 0.537267 0.820867 1.269916
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.074795 0.127794 0.211687 0.353013 0.583839 0.944286 1.547622
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.062052 0.112961 0.198415 0.350756 0.613737 1.046586 1.809439
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.053729 0.103754 0.192419 0.358984 0.661571 1.184262 2.149974
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045156 0.092269 0.180234 0.353941 0.685168 1.284101 2.441096
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.039502 0.085105 0.174491 0.359407 0.728237 1.424000 2.824502
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.033266 0.075464 0.162175 0.349827 0.740740 1.508843 3.117313
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.030052 0.071505 0.160478 0.361183 0.796304 1.683774 3.610541
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.027317 0.068144 0.159636 0.374649 0.859456 1.885144 4.192169
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023914 0.062533 0.152861 0.373930 0.892108 2.028683 4.675628
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020908 0.057240 0.145833 0.371363 0.920222 2.166772 5.168787
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018434 0.052761 0.139903 0.370325 0.951709 2.317003 5.712241
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016443 0.049130 0.135390 0.371965 0.989915 2.488261 6.330433
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015043 0.046827 0.133862 0.380998 1.048097 2.715321 7.116213
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013363 0.043340 0.128518 0.378905 1.077241 2.875790 7.761666
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012302 0.041479 0.127317 0.388003 1.137717 3.123711 8.665651
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010892 0.038202 0.121441 0.382717 1.157816 3.270222 9.326623
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009990 0.036373 0.119510 0.388717 1.210982 3.512466 10.280396
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008757 0.033135 0.112640 0.378448 1.214987 3.621167 10.882702